Death by numbers

Covid-19 Death Counts or fun with numbers

We have been subjected daily to the death count. The mainstream media knows that nothing gets ratings like a tragedy. The worse the tragedy, the higher their ratings. From March 2020 on, the race began to air the most horrific stories.

Worst case scenarios were broadcast daily, while news that would downplay the dangers was given little coverage if not omitted entirely.

On March 16, 2020 The UK’s Imperial College in a discredited study publicly predicted 40 million deaths worldwide. The report claimed that the deaths could be reduced to 20 million if immediate action were taken. “We estimate that in the absence of interventions, COVID-19 would have resulted in7.0 billion infections and 40 million deaths globally this year.”

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8327641/Coronavirus-modelling-Professor-Neil-Ferguson-branded-mess-experts.html

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8164121/Professor-predicted-500-000-Britons-die-coronavirus-accused-having-patchy-record.html

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/imperial-college-scientist-who-predicted-500k-coronavirus-deaths-in-uk-revises-to-20k-or-less

Neil Ferguson, head of the Imperial College research team, claimed that in the UK alone, 500,000 would die. Neil Ferguson claimed to be an epidemiologist. He is not a physician, and has only a degree in theoretical physics.

Within a week the numbers he claimed were reduced to 20,000. Now 20,000 deaths is nothing to cough at. But how could a prominent bureaucrat make such a glaring error? The initial numbers fueled international hysteria.

Within weeks, COVID-19 metamorphosed from a virus that was a health concern to a pandemic that left unchecked would destroy ife on this planet as we know it.

Even in the USA, almost all numbers are artificially inflated. If the baseline is incorrect, it ensures that all other numbers will be wrong also.

CDC guidelines insist that deaths not proven to be caused by COVID-19 be listed as caused by COVID-19, if the patient exhibited any of the symptoms. These symptoms are basically the same symptoms one would exhibit if they had influenza, or the common cold

These guidelines changed from a previous set of guidelines that was much broader, ensuring even higher “positive” numbers. Unfortunately I never took a screenshot of the page which has now been removed.
“COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death.” https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/coronavirus/Alert-2-New-ICD-code-introduced-for-COVID-19-deaths.pdf

We are bombarded daily with COVID-19 infection rates and death tallies. We are told to socially distance. I don’t mind this as I have a very small personal space, and don’t mind people distancing themselves from me. I used to be called “anti-social”. I ust don’t like people crowding me.

Even though there is little scientific evidence that face masks prevent the spread of COVID-19, and by evidence I mean studies with results that are repeatable, many states are mandating face masks while in public. Anyone who refuses to wear a face mask is a social pariah. And now, Dr. Fauci is saying we should wear goggles too. https://abcnews.go.com/US/dr-fauci-wear-goggles-eye-shields-prevent-spread/story?id=72059055

“If you have goggles or an eye shield, you should use it,” the nation’s top infectious disease expert told ABC News Chief Medical Correspondent Dr. Jennifer Ashton during an Instagram Live conversation on ABC News.

What’s next, wearing full body suits?

And still, the numbers are being manipulated, and we cannot get a straight story. Is it bureaucratic bungling? An inept government agency? From the Atlantic, a far to the left publication: “the CDC is making, at best, a debilitating mistake: combining test results that diagnose current coronavirus infections with test results that measure whether someone has ever had the virus. The upshot is that the government’s disease-fighting agency is overstating the country’s ability to test people who are sick with COVID-19.” https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/05/cdc-and-states-are-misreporting-covid-19-test-data-pennsylvania-georgia-texas/611935/

Across the nation we are hearing stories of labs failing to report factual figures. A motorcycle accident death was listed as caused by COVID-19. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/florida-health-official-admits-man-who-died-in-motorcycle-crash-listed-as-coronavirus-death Gunshot deaths are reported as COVID-19.

Though the state said its current coronavirus death tally includes anyone that dies after testing positive for the illness, it remains unclear how the gunshot victims ended up in the count – where they still remain. Hutchison said the figure would soon be revised to account for the glaring error, however. https://www.rt.com/usa/489409-washington-gunshot-deaths-coronavirus/

It seems that writers of death certificates are eager to err on the side of COVID-19 as the cause of death rather than the true underlying cause.
I am not attempting to undermine the danger of COVID-19 to that segment of society that is truly at risk. I lost a friend to COVID-19. He was in the high risk segment, older and suffering from significant health issues. The mother of a close friend of mine, in a nursing care facility died. Most patients in nursing care facilities die within months of being admitted. A 19-year old died locally. He suffered from diabetes due to an unhealthy lifestyle and diet.

The state of NJ herded elderly COVID-19 patients into a nursing car facility. Almost half of the COVID-19 deaths are of patients in nursing care facilities. https://nypost.com/2020/06/27/almost-half-of-us-covid-19-deaths-are-linked-to-nursing-homes/

I have news for you, and it may sound crass, but these patients were going to die soon anyway.

Which leads to my main question. How likely am I, or you, to die of COVID-19?

Using early Chinese predictions that the infection mortality rate could be as high a 1.4% to 2%, 6 million Americans will die. That is news worthy of scaring the most optimistic of us.

We still do not know how many people have been infected. The CDC has confused and mingled the numbers of those tested who have been infected and recovered with those actively infected. So ALL of those numbers are suspect.

Most of the nation has not been tested. Many people have had COVID-19 and recovered. Many had no symptoms. Too many tests have shown people to have the virus and then proved to be incorrect. Many have shown people to be free of the virus only to be infected. The only real numbers we have are of those that have had symptoms and been hospitalized.

We do know how many people have been infected, tested positive, and either lived or died. The latest figures from the CDC from June 10 give us some numbers that indicate the truth. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html

If you are hospitalized, you have a greater chance of dying from COVID-19. Duh! To be hospitalized you have to exhibit acute symptoms. According to the CDC, if you are positive ad in the hospital and between the ages of 18 – 45 you have a 2% chance of dying. And you have underlying health conditions – asthma, diabetes, HIV, cancer, immune deficiency…

Bewteen the age of 60 – 64, you have less than a 10% chance of dying. Again, underlying health issues hurt you. COPD? Did you smoke your entire life? If you smoke, then why in the hell are you trying to blame others? Unhealthy diet? That was YOUR choice!

65 years and older, you have a 29% chance of dying. YOU are the one that needs to quarantine yourself and avoid the public. Why are you forcing an 18 year old to wear a face mask when you are refusing to protect yourself?

Also, it has been shown that people on ventilators are more likely to die than those not on ventilators. NYC may have murdered hundreds of people by placing them on ventilators when it was unnecessary. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-22/almost-9-in-10-covid-19-patients-on-ventilators-died-in-study If you are placed on a ventilator, with or without COVID-19 you have a 36% chance of dying. https://www.physiciansweekly.com/mortality-rate-of-covid-19-patients-on-ventilators/

Of course, these are merely numbers. How many would have died without the ventilator?

But I digress. If you are a healthy adult, how much do you have to fear from COVID-19?

On May 20, 2020 the CDC estimated that the virus would kill .26% of those infected. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html The virus would kill one in 400 of those infected and that showed symptoms. This same study showed that only one out of three people infected would show symptoms.

I agree that if you are one of the 400 people tested positive that dies, it sucks, for you. However as many as 60% of the population is immune for one reason or another. https://www.cell.com/cell/pdf/S0092-8674(20)30610-3.pdf So now we are looking at numbers for only 40% of the population.

So, when we deal with percentages, COVID-19 is more dangerous than the annual flu season. When dealing with straight numbers with no reference, it is scary. A death toll of 250,000 to 900,000. But when using these numbers with a reference point, it is not the sure death as foretold by every news program seeking ratings.

If during every influenza season we were bombarded by death totals on a daily basis, people would act differently. They would stay home from work when ill rather than spreading the annual epidemic. They would not visit Grandma and Pop-pop even though they had a fever. And flu deaths would decrease.

If anything good came from this crisis, at least doctors’ offices and hospitals are now sanitizing waiting areas rather than forcing you to sit next to infected individuals in overcrowded waiting rooms in dirty chairs.

But what about the children? That is the to-call argument for every teacher that wants to dictate social change. We know for a fact that the elderly are most at risk from COVID-19. Again, they are more likely to have additional conditions that weaken their immune systems. In advanced nursing care facilities, these patients will die with a couple months, COVID or no. Their pre-existing conditions are the reason they are there in the first place.
Nobody wants to see a loved one die. However, the statistics are not even measurable when it comes to the deaths of children confirmed to be caused or related to COVID-19. https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-depth/coronavirus-in-babies-and-children/art-20484405

IN New York City t was reported that 9 children died of complications after being tested positive for COVID-19. And one teen in Florida died. It was not reported however, that the condition that afflicted these children also occurs with the regular flu. The sin of omission, with the mainstream media attempting to create fear when none is really warranted.

Fear mongering. Soon I will attack the face mask fiasco. Hopefully I have given you enough facts to begin thinking for yourself. If you can’t think for yourself, well, I pity you.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.